Trend is not destiny.
-- René Dubos
Asked how many people the Earth can sustain indefinitely, Harvard professor E. O. Wilson, certainly one of the world's great biologists, replied: "If they have the appetite for resources of Japan and the United States, 200 million." This was reported to me in Kyoto by Dr. David Suzuki, Canadian biologist and commentator. I'd never heard so low a figure, and finally got Professor Wilson on the telephone to check up. Had he said that? "No," he responded, "but it sounds reasonable."
He gave me some people to refer to further, including population researcher and author Anne Ehrlich. She gave me an estimate at the 1991 Land, Air, and Water Conference, in Eugene, Oregon: "With a little more industrial development in the Third World, 500 million."
In other words, the Earth is now supporting (but not very well) ten times more people than it can handle over the long run. We are surviving by severely overdrawing life's account in the World Resource Bank. OK so far, as the man said after falling forty stories with only ten to go.
Somewhere I picked up a staggering statistic: In the past fifty years the United States has used up more resources than all the rest of the world in all previous history. I haven't checked that figure. I like it the way it is. If it isn't right yet, we seem determined to make it right. Wrong.
"Trend is not destiny," the late RenT Dubos wrote. I do not blindly oppose progress. I oppose blind progress. We had better not let the U.S. trend become the Earth's destiny. We don't need to.
I don't know about life after death, but I do believe in life after birth. And it is absolutely essential that we take steps to make that life after birth a better one. Here are some key steps to take. Try hard not to be offended by them:
I found myself unable to stop telling this admonition in time when addressing an audience in Utah, and escaped by pointing out that the number of children is a social problem, and the number of wives merely an organizational problem.
Perhaps someone should take the Pope to lunch and explain things to him. Perhaps the Dalai Lama should. He told a Berkeley audience on a sunny day in 1994: "The solution to the population problem is -- more monks!"
This article is excerpted from:
Let the Mountains Talk, Let the Rivers Run by David Brower and Steve Chapple.
Reprinted with permission of the
publisher, New Society Publishers. ©2000. http://www.newsociety.com
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this book.
David Brower was the recipient of the Blue Planet Award and has been nominated twice for the Nobel Peace Prize. He was the former Executive Director of the Sierra Club, and Founder of Friends of the Earth and Earth Island Institute. He passed away in November, 2000. He is the author of several other books.
Steve Chapple is the author of several books, including Kayaking the Full Moon and Don't Mind Dying.